Excitement is building around the Bitcoin price as history appears to repeat itself and analysts recall the start of its run to $20,000 all-time highs.
The creator of arguably the most famous Bitcoin (BTC) price forecasting tool has declared that the largest cryptocurrency is in a bull market.
In a tweet on Aug. 18, quant analyst PlanB, creator of the Stock-to-Flow series of Bitcoin price models, said that with a relative strength index (RSI) of 64, the bull market was “confirmed.”
PlanB: BTC “looking strong”
RSI is used to determine whether Bitcoin is overbought — or oversold — at a specific price point.
Current behavior mimics that of previous halving cycles, with 2012 and 2016 both seeing solid RSI scores accompany a price run shortly after the halving event itself.
“#Bitcoin looking strong, RSI 64, bull market confirmed,” PlanB wrote.
Bitcoin RSI historical chart. Source: PlanB/ Twitter
BTC/USD has surprised commentators by retaining $12,000 support after another attempt at securing the level suddenly succeeded on Monday.
At press time, the situation was beginning to show signs of strain, with a fall bouncing at just $12,020.
USD currency index warns of “bleed out”
BTC has diverged from safe haven gold over the past two weeks, but one theory neatly explains why both assets have performed so well.
The U.S. dollar has weakened, and according to the U.S. dollar currency index, a more significant collapse may be near.
The index measures the dollar’s strength against the currencies of a basket of U.S. trading partners. As analyst Mati Greenspan noted, the value is now at its lowest in two years.
Cointelegraph Markets analyst Michaël van de Poppe further described the index as “the actual reason of Bitcoin’s and Gold’s strength.”
Continuing, gold bug Peter Schiff gave a dire outlook for USD.
“The U.S. dollar’s slow bleed continues, with the Dollar Index breaking below 92.50 for the 1st time since May 2018,” he tweeted.
“Once the Jan. low is breached (4 handles lower), a larger wound will open and the blood loss will accelerate. Once it breaks the 2008 low the dollar will bleed out.”
The Federal Reserve is widely tipped to demand higher inflation going forward, something which commentators previously said would be extremely bullish for safe havens.