Bitcoin struggles to overcome the $64,000 resistance as investors choose to invest in stocks and seek shelter in cash options amid socio-political uncertainty.
Bitcoin (BTC) has been unable to sustain levels above $66,000 since July 31, despite achieving a 5.2% gain between Oct. 3 and Oct. 7. Some analysts assert that Bitcoin benefits from the ever-growing United States federal debt; however, while this correlation appears valid, it has minimal influence on short-term price trends.
In reality, socio-political events seem to be the primary driver of Bitcoin’s limited upside, considering that the global monetary base (M2) has expanded from $104 trillion in June to $108 trillion in October, while Bitcoin was rejected multiple times at the $68,000 resistance level. This suggests that the rally to $64,000 is unlikely to be rooted in the US fiscal situation.
Bitcoin/USD vs. global monetary base (M2, billion). Source: TradingView