El Salvador: 1 Bitcoin a day keeps recession away

The last few days have been a wild rollercoaster, and the crypto volatility has not yet subsided. Recent market events would have you believe that anyone putting their trust in crypto is insane. Yet, El Salvador has reaffirmed their faith in Bitcoin. This has caused investors to experience both comfort and confusion.

El Salvador’s president, Nayib Bukele, has defied major intergovernmental institutions such as the IMF by remaining crypto-friendly. Currently, El Salvador owns 2,381 BTC worth a total of $103 million. However, during the crypto winter, the value of its BTC holdings plummeted to $39.4 million.

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El Salvador’s BTC investments tremor amid the FTX fall

The FTX devastating news spread rapidly and viciously to El Salvador. There were rumors that El Salvador was exposed to the failing FTX crypto exchange. Following this, crypto enthusiasts were left wondering if the reported issue would spread to other sectors.

President of El Salvador Nayib Bukele, widely known as “The Bitcoin President,” claims to have never been affiliated with the FTX crypto exchange. In addition, Bukele thanked God for protecting him and his small Latin American nation from peril.

After that, the CEO of Binance, Changpeng Zhao (CZ), then appeared to update the crypto community on the rumors. CZ came to Twitter to dispel these reports, stating that  “the amount of misinformation is insane.”

He added that he “exchanged messages with President Nayib a few moments ago.”  According to him, President Bukele told him,  “we don’t have any Bitcoin in FTX and we never had any business with them. Thank God!”

Mike Novogratz, who spread the false information in a now-deleted CNBC interview, took to Twitter to apologize to President Bukele and the Salvadoran people, writing, “I fell for ‘fake news’ and while I mentioned I hadn’t confirmed it, I should have.” Novogratz thanked Binance’s CZ for “pointing it out.”

Nayib Bukele remains pro-crypto

Now that this issue has been resolved, El Salvador’s crypto wager is back on schedule. El Salvador, the first country in the world to adopt Bitcoin as legal tender in September 2021, is resuming its BTC purchases after a hiatus caused by months of unfavorable market conditions.

President Nayib Bukele confirmed on November 16 that the Central American government would begin daily BTC purchases on November 17. The statement comes over three months after the country’s final BTC purchase, which happened in June 2022.

Purchase DateBitcoinsCost per BTCTotal Amount invested
Sept 6th, 2021400$46,811$18,724,400
Sept 7th, 2021150$46,091$6.913,650
Sept 19th, 2021150$42, 843$6,426, 450
Oct 27th,2021420$60,622$25,461.240
Nov 26th, 2021100$54,815$5,481,500
Dec 3rd, 2021150$48,670$7,300,500
Dec 21st, 202121$49,220$1,033,620
Jan 21st, 2022410$36,585$15,000,000
May 9th, 2022500$30,744$15,372,000
June 30th,202280$19,000$1,520,000
Total2381$43,357$103,233,360
El Salvador’s Bitcoin Purchase History

The unveiling of a new BTC buying protocol at a time when the leading crypto is trading at a cycle low is not a surprise. Due to the prolonged crypto winter, BTC adoption in El Salvador does not appear to be very hopeful at present.

Nevertheless, based on the historical Bitcoin price cycle, the nation can easily reverse its losses by just hanging onto its BTC purchase in the next bull cycle. Justin Sun, the founder of the Tron crypto network and the ambassador of Grenada, made a similar initiative shortly after Bukele’s statement, emulating Bukele’s accumulating method.

The strategy of purchasing any asset (in this case BTC) on a predetermined schedule than in response to price fluctuations is known as dollar cost averaging (DCA).  The benefit of DCA is that it eliminates the emotional component of decision-making, and in the long run, you pay less in dollar terms for the investment than you would if you attempted to time the market.

The future of El Salvador under a BTC regime

Here is a hypothetical. According to CoinMarketCap, the price of BTC stands at $16,572. El Salvador owns 2381 BTC, making its holdings stand at (2381* $16,572 = $39,457,932). Starting Nov 17th to Dec 31st, El Salvador will add 45 BTC to their portfolio. The total would stand at 2426 BTC.

El Salvador: 1 Bitcoin a day keeps recession away 1
Source: Statistica. El Salvador’s Debt Projection

According to Statistica, El Salvador’s debt is expected to reach $38.52 billion in 2027. The nation’s GDP currently stands at $28.74B, which is terrible news to Salvadorans. But with BTC trade, far out of reach of governments, the country can boost its economy to pay off its debt. A bull run will be a breath of fresh air to investors, but it will be salvation for the people of El Salvador. 

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