Ethereum has less than 10% chance of tapping $5K by year-end, says Derive

Derive suggests data shows the chances of Ether reaching $5,000 by the end of the year are low, but traders seem more bullish than ever amid significant ETF inflows.

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Onchain options protocol Derive says data shows Ethereum has less than a 10% chance of hitting the much-anticipated $5,000 mark by the end of 2024, despite significant inflows into spot Ether exchange-traded funds (ETFs) hinting at a looming “supply-side crisis.”

The probability that Ether (ETH) will reach $5,000 by Dec. 27 “climbed to 16% at its peak but has recently adjusted down to just over 8%,” Derive head of research Sean Dawson said in a Dec. 10 markets report.

Ether’s chances of reaching $5,000 by the end of the year have fallen by about 50%. Source: Derive.xyz

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