Ethereum price soars on spot ETF rumor — How are ETH options markets positioned?

Ethereum price soared to a 2-month high at $3,700 today as analysts significantly boosted their expectation that a spot ETH ETF could be approved.

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On May 20, the price of Ether (ETH) surged over 18% after Eric Balchunas, a senior analyst at Bloomberg, raised the approval odds for the Ethereum exchange-traded fund (ETF) from 25% to 75%. Balchunas noted that the United States Securities and Exchange Commission likely faced political pressure, as their previous position showed little engagement with ETF applicants.

Balchunas further mentioned that the SEC is reportedly asking exchanges like the NYSE and Nasdaq to update their filings, although there has been no official confirmation from the regulator. Nonetheless, Nate Geraci, co-founder of the ETF Institute and president of the ETF Store, stated that the final decision is still pending regarding the registration requirement for individual funds (S-1s).

According to Geraci, the SEC could approve the exchange rule changes (19b-4s) separately from the fund’s registration (S-1), which could technically be delayed beyond the May 23 deadline for VanEck’s Ethereum spot ETF request. This allows the regulator additional time to review and approve these documents, considering the complexities and risks associated with structures involving Proof-of-Stake (PoS) cryptocurrencies.

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