Bitcoin’s supply distribution reveals a robust foundation of investor holdings below the $30,000 level, indicating substantial price support at its current range, according to the on-chain analytics platform Glassnode. In a recently published report, Glassnode highlighted the coin’s profit/loss ratio, which currently stands at 75:25. This means that only a quarter of all Bitcoins were acquired at prices higher than the current level of approximately $30,000.
Glassnode says investor holdings will support Bitcoin under $30,000
Notably, the majority of long-term holders comprise this cohort, comprising either battle-hardened “HODLers” or individuals likely to sell and take profits as the price rises. Glassnode emphasized the significance of the supply cluster between $15,000 and $30,000, indicating a substantial volume of coins changing hands over the past year. Conversely, only 25% of the supply was acquired at prices above $30,000, predominantly by buyers from the 2021-22 cycle.
For Bitcoin, the 75:25 ratio represents an equilibrium point where 50% of all trading days exhibit a higher profit/loss balance, and vice versa. Glassnode observed that the market typically takes time to adjust to this level, often referred to as an “accumulation period” that occurs between halving events.
During accumulation periods, the market lacks clear macro market directions, resulting in sideways yet volatile trading for several months. Glassnode’s report suggests that since the market has returned to this equilibrium point, it remains to be seen if a similar extended and choppy process will be necessary to overcome it.
The firm still sees slight problems for the digital asset in the coming months
Glassnode previously noted that Bitcoin’s current behavior resembles that of early-stage bull markets, characterized by a transfer of wealth from investors with high time preferences to long-term holders. Additionally, smaller Bitcoin holders, specifically those with holdings of less than 1 BTC, are accumulating coins at a rate not seen since the 2017 market peak.
Mining companies like CleanSpark and Iris Energy have strategically focused on acquiring infrastructure to mine a significant number of coins in the coming months. On the other hand, British multinational bank Standard Chartered suggests that if miners start hoarding their coins in the upcoming year, the resulting supply crunch could propel Bitcoin’s price to $120,000 by 2025.
The findings from Glassnode’s report shed light on the current state of Bitcoin’s supply distribution and investor sentiment. The substantial volume of coins held within the $15,000 to $30,000 range indicates a strong base of support for the cryptocurrency at its current level. However, the equilibrium point of the profit/loss ratio may lead to a period of consolidation and uncertainty as the market adjusts. As Bitcoin continues to evolve, these dynamics will play a crucial role in shaping its future price movements and investor behavior.
